At weekend, government Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs) would
have closed their accounts domiciled with Deposit Money Banks (DMBs) as
directed by the Federal Government.
Early January, the Federal
Government issued a directive to government MDAs to close their revenue
collection accounts domiciled in the DMBs.
“You are advised to
commence the process of closing all revenue collection account with
commercial banks and transfer all available balance to the Central Bank
of Nigeria (CBN),” Jonah Otunla, accountant-general of the Federation,
said at a workshop on the Federal Government revenue e-collection
project in Abuja, last week.
Consequently, the MDAs were given up
to February 28, to formalise with the accountant-general of the
Federation on how these accounts will be operated as appropriate
sanction would be applied against any MDA that fails to comply.
This
development, analysts say, although healthy for the economy, will
further pressure on banks liquidity. They are concerned that banks
negate their intermediation role by not lending to the economy but place
their excess liquidity on government securities.
Bolade Agbola,
chairman, Lagos State branch of the Chartered Institute of Bankers of
Nigeria (CIBN), told BusinessDay on Monday that the directive centred on
government move to control money supply such that the ability of the
banks to create credit will be further constrained.
He said “it
will control demand for foreign exchange,” adding that because of the
problem of foreign inflow, the government had been coming with ways to
limit the demand for foreign exchange.
According to him, by the
time the MDAs pull out their funds, banks will not be able to make
profit the way they used to, their margins will shrink, so many loans
will go bad and provision for loan loss will increase.
“But for
banks, it will mean further pressure on liquidity as they lose some of
their public sector deposits. Combined with last year’s increase in the
private sector CRR to 20 percent, this might result in further pressure
on banking sector profitability – especially for those banks that were
especially dependent on public sector liabilities. But given that the
public sector CRR already stands at 75 percent, we do not expect the
impact to be severe,” Razia Khan, managing director, head, Africa Macro
Global Research, Standard Chartered Bank, said in an e-mailed response
to BusinessDay.
According to her, if anything, it will encourage
banks to do even more to mobilise liabilities domestically – perhaps
increasing the effort to mobilise deposits from the unbanked. In the
long-run, this will be a healthy development for Nigeria, boosting
financial intermediation and ultimately, creating a more resilient
banking system – one that is less dependent on public sector
liabilities, therefore less susceptible to volatility in the oil price.
Chukwuka
Monye, managing partner, Ciuci Consulting, had said that following the
trends in 2014, Nigerian banks will continue to wade through tides,
finding ways to thrive amid changes in the regulatory and business
environment – with the outcome of each bank’s strategic response
becoming more quantifiable.
With significant strains on
commissions and fees income, competition in the banking industry will
become stiffer and banks will continue to wrestle for low-cost deposits
even as it is anticipated that Commission On Transaction (COT) rates
will drop to a maximum of N1 per mille in 2015, and zero per mille in
2016, he said.
While customer retention and acquisition remain
critical to success, the need to develop more customer-centric products,
provide satisfactory service experience and maximise customer value
will be more emphasised.
In recent times, the banking industry
has been experiencing some pressure on their liquidity position
following some measure by the CBN to curtail excess liquidity in the
sector.
The measures include the increase in Monetary Policy Rate
(MPR) to 13 percent from 12 percent, the increase in cash reserve
requirement (CRR) of public sector deposit by 500 basis points to 20
percent from 15 percent before the past Monetary Policy Committee
Meeting (MPC).
There is also the gradual phase out of COT to zero percent per mile by the year 2016, it currently stood at 1 percent per mile.
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